Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 7.833193 8.639776 9.517438 10.547389 11.728040 13.045177 14.634153
2026-01-18 6.844730 7.932426 9.196423 10.788408 12.760720 15.151777 18.313022
2026-01-25 6.060767 7.252311 8.698001 10.607701 13.104677 16.317619 20.864919
2026-02-01 5.503968 6.753150 8.321331 10.474009 13.416562 17.398225 23.377338
2026-02-08 5.049556 6.324104 7.969815 10.303001 13.615742 18.299518 25.715919
2026-02-15 4.659532 5.937349 7.627124 10.090123 13.705012 19.019339 27.849703
2026-02-22 4.381677 5.673558 7.420422 10.034242 13.994332 20.041878 30.584882
2026-03-01 4.051213 5.311491 7.045564 9.694533 13.811192 20.295076 32.057356
2026-03-08 3.717676 4.922811 6.604252 9.216048 13.359795 20.054612 32.610874
2026-03-15 3.509030 4.697577 6.381582 9.046454 13.373954 20.571159 34.599692
2026-03-22 3.572079 4.864545 6.740709 9.798883 14.955078 23.947805 42.646318
2026-03-29 3.489988 4.811786 6.764551 10.017489 15.657456 25.854435 48.148867
2026-04-05 3.297037 4.588112 6.520947 9.794357 15.593088 26.375540 50.910669
2026-04-12 3.221624 4.538282 6.544305 10.017455 16.350983 28.588988 58.034668
2026-04-19 3.068251 4.359358 6.350868 9.853249 16.374142 29.330874 61.824910
2026-04-26 2.936354 4.206756 6.190018 9.731833 16.463125 30.217145 66.200076
2026-05-03 2.807853 4.052920 6.017892 9.576454 16.468556 30.921936 70.277802
2026-05-10 2.681379 3.896280 5.832362 9.382928 16.378163 31.400811 73.858036
2026-05-17 2.590499 3.792579 5.729331 9.332107 16.570376 32.548125 79.726018
2026-05-24 2.458765 3.616871 5.495807 9.022984 16.199018 32.324541 81.333808
2026-05-31 2.312339 3.411839 5.203665 8.587053 15.526661 31.302747 80.167799
2026-06-07 2.223399 3.298268 5.063821 8.432390 15.442346 31.713523 83.877913
2026-06-14 2.279857 3.427740 5.350928 9.117971 17.253032 37.185922 107.249918